Year 2011 Population & Housing Projections
Residential Growth Trends
The Chesterfield Planning Department produces an annual report in conjunction with the Capital Improvement Program review process to help determine the need for future public facilities. The report contains population growth projections for specific communities located throughout the county.
These projections are based on a number of factors including recent trends, available building lots, approved land zoning and rezoning applications, and potential expansion of existing developments. These projections are a good indicator of future residential development trends in Chesterfield.
The planning department has identified twenty-five county communities using data related to school boundaries, location of shopping centers, the location of local institutions (such as churches) and travel patterns. Some communities were easily defined. Older communities such as Ettrick and Bon Air have definable boundaries, about which there is widespread agreement. Other areas, where there are larger proportions of vacant land, or that developed without a commercial center, were harder to define. Over time, these boundaries may need to change to reflect citizen comments, changes in growth or travel patterns.
Year 2011 Population & Housing Projections
The planning staff projects that the County’s population will grow by over 34,000 between 2005 and 2011. This is almost 6,000 people per year compared to 5,100 per year from 1990 to 2000. This is more in line with the growth that occurred in the 1980’s, and is consistent with about 2,500 building permits per year. More people will be living in new apartments, as more than 1,600 units have been built in the last two years and almost 2,700 are either approved or under construction.
Projected High Growth Areas
- Midlothian Area: The extension of Rt. 288, the construction of John Tyler Community College, and the development of The Grove, Charter Colony, Centerpointe, the area north of the Swift Creek Reservoir and many multi-family developments now make this area the growth leader. Midlothian will make up 20% of all county growth.
- Spring Run Area: The Spring Run area is likely to be second in growth over the next six years, with the new development of Harpers Mill and Collington and subdivisions such as Summerford, Bayhill Point, and Hampton Park continuing the recent impressive growth trend.
- Courthouse Area: The developments of Woodland Pond and The Highlands west of the Courthouse area, and numerous smaller ones to the northeast near Centralia Road will account for the growth in the Courthouse Community.
- Woodlake Area: Recent and new subdivisions along Woolridge and Otterdale Roads as well as the conclusion of Ashbrook will produce significant growth in this area.
- Chester: With the development of the Village Green area and Westchester Townhouses in the north and the continued expansion of Longmeadow in the south Chester will continue to be among the leaders in growth.
- Matoaca: Growth in the western part of the Matoaca community, especially the Chesdin Landing area and south of the Highlands will account for most of the growth in this area.
Links to the 2011 projections for the 25 community areas and a map of the county designating the 25 areas can be found on www.chesterfieldbusiness.com in the Properties section under Development Trends.